The Political Chase

Scranton, Indiana

Stephen Colbert opened his show tonight with: "Hillary Clinton wins the Pennsylvania primary. I can’t wait to see where she grew up in Indiana."

The Pennsylvania Math

This is where the Democratic race stands after the primary in Pennsylvania yesterday. Since Chuck Todd is probably the best in the business, these are his numbers.

 
Obama
Clinton
Spread

Pledged Delegates (Pre-PA)
1417
1251
Obama +166

PA Delegates *
71
80
Clinton +9

Total Pledged Delegates
1488
1331
Obama +157

Supedelegates
238
262
Clinton +25

Total Delegates
1726
1593
Obama +133

Popular Votes (Pre-PA)
13.4 million
12.7 million
26.1 million [...]

Clinton projected winner, margin unknown

Although Clinton is the projected winner, it doesn’t look like her margin of victory will be enough to make any noteworty change in the larger picture. Most of the areas around Philadelphia have not reported yet, and Obama was expected to win that area.
Of course, that will not be the spin you will be hearing [...]

PA Dem Primary Live Blogging II

9:23 PM
Ohh god. I don’t think I can sit here and listen to all the lies coming out of the Clinton campaign.
Chris Matthews is squeezing McAuliffe on delegates vs. popular vote, but of course that doesn’t matter to Team Clinton. They won the Democratic nomination tonight to hear them tell it.
Clinton argument: Popular vote is [...]

Live-Blogging the PA Returns

8:44 PM Going to a new post
8:39 PM
Clinton 64%
Obama 34%
0% reporting
8:37 PM
Fineman: Obama spent Clinton into oblivion…only a matter of time.
Still to close to call.
8:35 PM
Howard Fineman says the Obama strategy was to force Clinton to spend lots of money in Pennsylvania and it may have worked.”They’re out of bundlers, exhausted, and are reduced to [...]

PA Exit Poll - Age, income and more

Age
18 - 29 year-olds    10%
65+ years old    27%
Household Income
Under $50,000 - 45%
Over $50,000 — 55%
Urban vs. Rural
City — 27%
Suburbs — 52%
Rural — 21%
Education
No college degree 55%
College grad 45%
Race
White 80%
Black 14%
Hispanic ~4%

PA Exit Polling - Negative Attacks

7:45 PM Update: Take a look at the relatively minor influence the campaign ads may have had (below). That probably is more to Obama’s disadvantage than Clinton’s. He spent $$$$ in ads. But at the same time, that may mean all of Hillary’s negative ads might not have helped her as much either. The answer [...]

PA Exit Poll - Obama voters want change

Take these lightly. Exit polling has been largely unreliable this primary season.
From MSNBC:
New Voters by Region
35% - Philadelphia & Suburbs
26% - Central T
20% - Pittsburgh Area
18% - Northeast
Important to Obama Voters
73% - Bring change
14% - Cares about me
8% - Electability
3% - Experience

PA Primary Exit Poll - Eventual Nominee

Of course, the networks are not releasing any information that characterizes how people voted in Pennsylvania, but it’s a start.
Eventual Nominee
Obama 54%
Clinton 43%
One in five Clinton voters believe Barack Obama will be the nominee

Clinton associates Bin Laden with ‘leadership’

Tonight on Countdown, Keith Olbermann asked Hillary Clinton about the ad she released today that includes an image of Osama bin Laden, and references many of the worst disasters America has ever faced. Clinton said the ad was about "leadership."
Watch it.

Clinton’s flip-flop fear-mongering

Here’s a list of the events Hillary Clinton references in her fear-mongering "Kitchen" ad.

The 1929 stock market crash
Japan’s bombing of Pearl Harbor
The 1962 Cuban missile crisis
The gas shortages in the 70’s
Osama bin Laden
Katrina

It’s disgraceful. Democrats have decried George Bush and the Rethugs for doing the same thing for more seven years. There is no difference [...]

Touching

Are people in Pennsylvania really going to fall for this pandering?
On the eve of tomorrow’s make-or-break Pennsylvania primary, Hillary Clinton came to her ancestral home of Scranton this morning armed not with a stump speech, but with a simple declaration: I understand you, because I’m one of you.

And Hillary seems to have forgotten the Constitution, [...]

Fear-mongering straight from GOP playbook

(update below)
Latest Pennsylvania ad from Karl Rove Hillary Clinton with a special guest appearance from Osama bin Laden.
Watch the video.
 

Update:  Bill Clinton in 2004: "If one candidate’s appealing to your fears and the other one’s appealing to your hopes, you better vote for the person who wants you to think and hope."

More Clinton, Obama ads in PA

Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama released more new ads in Pennsylvania today — the production studios must be loving it.
The first ad is Clinton’s. The announcer says, “[Obama] couldn’t answer tough questions in the debate, so Barack Obama is making false charges against Hillary Clinton’s health care plan.” Continuing, the ad then claims “Obama’s [...]

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